Halving time

Climate change will hurt the stock market. A disorderly transition to net zero, however, is much worse for equities than an orderly switch to a clean-energy economy. If the world economy continues to make minimal progress to reduce emissions, only to take climate change seriously from 2030 onwards, share prices will be 50% lower by 2050 than they would have been in a world without global warming. If major economies decarbonise steadily over the next 30 years, stocks will be just 15% lower in 2050 than would otherwise have been the case.

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